AGW Hoax is modeling past temperatures from insufficient and imprecise temperature data into temperature reconstructions.
Then feeding the modeled past temperatures into models of future temp.
One can get whatever result one wants by doing so.
Anyone that's ever done a pro forma understands how tweaking variables between high reasonable and low reasonable can produce dramatically different results. The more variables that you do this to the more you can alter the result because there's often a compounding effect or synergistic effect depending how you look at it between the variables.
But they aren't just tweaking the forward model. They're tweaking the input data. Which itself is the output of a model that was tweaked and uses terribly insufficient data that's also very imprecise.
Anyone saying oh it's a record temperature since 1880 or 1850 is FOS. Because we didn't have good global temperature records until the satellite error. The 1st chart* shows there was only decent data from the USA England and Japan until relatively recently.
Filling in empty grid cells by extrapolation is more modeling.
This is a singularity that AGW Hoaxers can't overcome.
The other is the removal of sulfur dioxide as well as other particulates.
This done to reduce acid rain. Remember that? You haven't heard about it in a long time.
We took software out of gasoline and then we took software out of diesel some other specialized fuels and now it's being removed from bunker fuel which is a really heavy dirty diesel used in large ocean ships
Hoaxers have bemoaned removing sulfur dioxide from bunker fuel because it may cause some warming.
They are seemingly oblivious to how much sulfur has been removed in previous decades. The amount removed from bunker fuel or the amount to be injected into the atmosphere by those who want to manipulate climate are relatively small to what's been removed
This explains the temperature spike that peaked in 98. It was mostly just removal of sulfur dioxide and other particulates.
Temperature has pretty much been flat line since then and while one hears about record temperatures, they are often a record by hundredths of a degree.
And that is in a system that is extremely imprecise.
There is a science and engineering concept of false precision. One cannot end up with more precision from calculation than one started with measurement. Any extra decimal places are false or void.
Maybe not a destructive singularity but perhaps a coffin nail.
AGW Hoax is also just multi-dimensional curve fitting. The models don't work but they keep climbing they do by using current temperature with current models.
They compared to what happened to what was predicted. But they don't actually use their model. Because you're CO2 ended up being much higher than the predictions. So if you put the higher level of CO2 into the model for their way off.
They will often say such and such as the record since record-keeping began 1850.
This is a lie. What they're doing is conflating the record keeping in the accounting sense, that is compiling data… with the creation of record extremes.
There was not sufficient data to establish global temperature until much much later
McIntyre knows all this I think. He is legend. I can't think of anyone that is more dogged and detailed than he is.
Thank you @demediaispropaganda for your help with bringing this megaruse to light! Excellent exposé of necessary historical facts which have been ensconced in unjustified laws costing citizens billions!
Not able to evaluate complicated legalities, I skimmed the article wondering how Steyn and Simberg are doing now - what is their status? I may have missed it, but that's what I'd like to know. Did they lose and get big fines? Jail? Appealling?
This effort by Mann to recover what is not rightly his has proven the discredit to Mann is just. Mann’s efforts are not based in science but are presented as they are. The recovery by Steyn, et al of legal expenses is justice being served.
Thank you @demediaispropaganda for your help with bringing this megaruse to light! Excellent exposé of necessary historical facts which have been ensconced in unjustified laws costing citizens billions!
Brilliantly presented. Thank you, Steve.
Henceforth, I propose that the Streisand effect be updated. Now, "the Mann-Streisand Effect."
OR…the Mann-Streisand-masturbatory effect?
Or the “Mann-Streisand Masturbatory MEGARUSE”! Thieves and lying criminals, all.
AGW Hoax is modeling past temperatures from insufficient and imprecise temperature data into temperature reconstructions.
Then feeding the modeled past temperatures into models of future temp.
One can get whatever result one wants by doing so.
Anyone that's ever done a pro forma understands how tweaking variables between high reasonable and low reasonable can produce dramatically different results. The more variables that you do this to the more you can alter the result because there's often a compounding effect or synergistic effect depending how you look at it between the variables.
But they aren't just tweaking the forward model. They're tweaking the input data. Which itself is the output of a model that was tweaked and uses terribly insufficient data that's also very imprecise.
Anyone saying oh it's a record temperature since 1880 or 1850 is FOS. Because we didn't have good global temperature records until the satellite error. The 1st chart* shows there was only decent data from the USA England and Japan until relatively recently.
Filling in empty grid cells by extrapolation is more modeling.
This is a singularity that AGW Hoaxers can't overcome.
The other is the removal of sulfur dioxide as well as other particulates.
This done to reduce acid rain. Remember that? You haven't heard about it in a long time.
We took software out of gasoline and then we took software out of diesel some other specialized fuels and now it's being removed from bunker fuel which is a really heavy dirty diesel used in large ocean ships
Hoaxers have bemoaned removing sulfur dioxide from bunker fuel because it may cause some warming.
They are seemingly oblivious to how much sulfur has been removed in previous decades. The amount removed from bunker fuel or the amount to be injected into the atmosphere by those who want to manipulate climate are relatively small to what's been removed
This explains the temperature spike that peaked in 98. It was mostly just removal of sulfur dioxide and other particulates.
Temperature has pretty much been flat line since then and while one hears about record temperatures, they are often a record by hundredths of a degree.
And that is in a system that is extremely imprecise.
There is a science and engineering concept of false precision. One cannot end up with more precision from calculation than one started with measurement. Any extra decimal places are false or void.
Maybe not a destructive singularity but perhaps a coffin nail.
AGW Hoax is also just multi-dimensional curve fitting. The models don't work but they keep climbing they do by using current temperature with current models.
They compared to what happened to what was predicted. But they don't actually use their model. Because you're CO2 ended up being much higher than the predictions. So if you put the higher level of CO2 into the model for their way off.
They will often say such and such as the record since record-keeping began 1850.
This is a lie. What they're doing is conflating the record keeping in the accounting sense, that is compiling data… with the creation of record extremes.
There was not sufficient data to establish global temperature until much much later
McIntyre knows all this I think. He is legend. I can't think of anyone that is more dogged and detailed than he is.
And I'm not easily impressed.
https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Time-series-of-annual-global-anthropogenic-emissions-of-sulfur-green-Tg-organic_fig2_265510954
@JRCCreasey ©️✅ @phd2020 @Paul Yeager @Angelus Irae @Kelli @Laura @Kelsi Sheren @Abigail Shrier @Oddly Obsessed @Bob Goldberg
Thank you @demediaispropaganda for your help with bringing this megaruse to light! Excellent exposé of necessary historical facts which have been ensconced in unjustified laws costing citizens billions!
How unsurprising that evidence Mann presented apparently consists of contrived and misleading statistics.
Not able to evaluate complicated legalities, I skimmed the article wondering how Steyn and Simberg are doing now - what is their status? I may have missed it, but that's what I'd like to know. Did they lose and get big fines? Jail? Appealling?
This effort by Mann to recover what is not rightly his has proven the discredit to Mann is just. Mann’s efforts are not based in science but are presented as they are. The recovery by Steyn, et al of legal expenses is justice being served.
Thank you for this documentation of the constancy of (the *lack* of) Michael Mann, Ph.D.'s integrity.
I'm shocked, shocked, that Mann plays fast and loose with data. Who could have known? /s
Thank you @demediaispropaganda for your help with bringing this megaruse to light! Excellent exposé of necessary historical facts which have been ensconced in unjustified laws costing citizens billions!